The soaring price of gold—now trading near record levels—is fueling optimism in the Philippine mining sector, with mining firms expected to capitalize on increased global demand. As President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. pushes for a new mining fiscal regime, stakeholders also see an opportunity to balance investment growth with fair revenue-sharing and environmental safeguards.
Currently, spot gold prices are nearing a record high, trading at USD 2,929.02 per ounce, with US gold futures rising to USD 2,957.50.
Gold prices reached an all-time peak of USD 2,942.70 per ounce earlier this week, marking the eighth record set this year. Analysts are forecasting gold could reach USD 3,000 per ounce by 2025.
In an Inquirer report, the Chamber of Mines of the Philippines (COMP) said that the rising value of gold is expected to drive miners to increase output levels in order to capitalize on the higher market prices.
COMP Chair Michael Toledo explained that when gold prices climb, mining companies typically ramp up production to maximize their earnings. He added that in some cases, companies may even reopen dormant mines if the price rise persists.
Despite global economic and geopolitical uncertainties, major financial institutions like Citi and UBS are optimistic about gold’s outlook.
Gold has seen a steady uptrend for over a year, climbing 63% from a low of USD 1,809.50 per ounce in late 2023, according to Reuters.
BMI Research projects gold will continue to outperform other commodities in 2024, with an average price of USD 2,500 per ounce. This is largely driven by concerns over US tariffs, military conflicts, and broader global instability.
ING Think also forecasts gold could hit USD 3,000 per ounce, noting that demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has been fueled by fears of inflation and slow economic growth.
Central banks worldwide are also contributing to the demand for gold. According to the World Gold Council, they purchased an additional 333 tons of gold in the fourth quarter of last year, bringing their total to over 1,000 tons in 2024.
This trend of increased central bank gold purchases has been ongoing for 15 years, underscoring gold’s role as a hedge against economic uncertainty.
For the Philippines, a major player in the global mining sector, the rising gold prices come at a time when the government is pushing for a new mining fiscal regime to attract investments and ensure sustainable development.
COMP is optimistic that this fiscal reform, along with rising gold prices, will present greater opportunities for local mining companies.
Despite the financial opportunities presented by high gold prices, industry stakeholders recognize the need for responsible mining practices. President Marcos has reiterated that the Philippines’ mineral wealth must be developed sustainably, ensuring that local communities benefit while environmental risks are minimized.
How will record-high gold prices impact the Philippine mining industry? Should the government impose stricter regulations on mining companies, or should investor incentives be prioritized to attract more capital? Share your thoughts in the comments below, and follow Power Philippines for the latest updates on the mining sector!